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From August 2004 to November 2004, Saudi generation goes flat although selling prices have not been introduced beneath Regulate and remain rising. My interpretation is this degree of generation was the maximum achievable at some time. Other individuals appear to feel that generally perhaps the Saudis adjusted their approach and determined better prices had been wonderful plus they'd choose to make more cash by voluntarily reining in output. I am undecided if anyone thinks this choice was taken as early as August 2004, but I believe to explain the data in B as voluntary holding back, 1 would have to make that assumption (which can be relatively problematic Because the Saudis would have no basis for changing their view of the effect of such prices on the world economic climate however).
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It doesn't appear to me that, from a timing viewpoint, this phenomenon is very well put to explain any declines that offset no matter what fraction with the 690kbd of Qatif megaproject production came on in late 2004 and early 2005 (zones B-D).